According to BloombergNEF, although 2023 set a new annual demand record, the increase was only 2% from 2021. The market is currently oversupplied by nearly 50%, and many companies have stopped using offsets due to criticism and rising prices. If elastic demand persists with rising prices, companies might purchase 1 billion offsets annually by 2030 and 2.5 billion by 205028.
Financial institutions such as banks, brokers, and investment firms are crucial, acting as facilitators, intermediaries, and liquidity providers, reducing market opacity, creating transparent pricing, and managing risks.
While demand for offsetting is projected to grow, carbon credits also offer investment opportunities due to rising carbon costs and potential for portfolio diversification.
With significant regional variations in carbon prices, there is considerable potential for high-quality carbon credits to increase in value. Voluntary carbon credits could become a distinct asset class, allowing financial institutions to offer range of investment solutions.
Furthermore, new funds might invest in real assets that generate carbon credits, and banks may expand financing for such projects. As voluntary carbon markets mature, financial services should explore opportunities in Asia's expanding Voluntary Carbon Markets beyond offsetting.